Sunday, January 22, 2012

Tired of Waiting for Next Year


We still have a few weeks before the beginning of Spring Training and I find myself thinking more and more about baseball and the Kansas City Royals.  I view the AL Central as a relatively weak division this season because unlike the other divisions, there really aren’t any big boys like the Yankees and Red Sox in the East, and the Rangers and Angels in the West.  At the risk of sounding like a homer, I think the Royals can compete for the division title this year.  Evidently, Dayton Moore and the Royals’ brain trust do not.

It has been a fairly quiet off season for the Royals.  They made a big splash early on during the hot stove season by trading Melky Cabrera, coming off a career year, to the Giants for starting pitcher Jonathan Sanchez who suffered through a slightly sup par campaign.  Since then, the only move that has even registered was the idiotic signing of Yuniesky Betancourt as a utility infielder, because his glove is so good!  As this hot stove season begins to cool down, two free agent pitchers are still sitting around with no contracts.  One is Roy Oswalt, who I think could be signed for a 1-year, $10 million deal, plus incentives.  The other is Edwin Jackson, who is probably going to garner a 4-year, $48 million contract.  While each has his warts, both would be an improvement over some of the starters the Royals are going to run out there every five days.

Dayton Moore has hinted strongly that the Royals will not be signing either pitcher and probably won’t be pulling off anymore staggering trades between now and the start of the season.  They want to see what they have in Felipe Paulino, Danny Duffy, Mike Montgomery, Jake Odorizzi, and others.  They don’t want anyone to block the development of these young prospects. 

The question I have to ask is when will it be next year?  As a Royals fan, we have been waiting forever for a competing team.  We keep hearing about the process.  Things have to be done a certain way.  We heard 2011 was going to be the year Kansas City challenged for a Central title.  Then it was 2012.  Now, it seems to be 2013.  Why not 2012?  Why not go for it just a little bit.  Take a chance on one of those free agents pitchers and just go for it!  Now may be the time.  The problem is we probably won’t get the chance to find out.

The Royals’ recently vaunted minor league system really started to produce in 2011.  We all know the list of young bats and bullpen arms that performed very well in 2011.  Is it not possible for the offense, as a unit on the whole, to match or improve its numbers from last season?  Is it unreasonable to expect that the deep and talented bullpen can’t do the same in 2012?  If these two things happen in 2012, wouldn’t a stronger rotation only be a good thing.  Young pitchers can contribute and develop in AAA and as depth in case of injuries.  For years, this organization has rushed guys in the majors.  Is it so bad to be patient now that there is a chance for an improved MLB roster?

It is my opinion that the AL Central is ripe for the picking.  Two teams, the Twins and White Sox, while not officially rebuilding, are certainly in a big transitional stage.  Both have big questions both offensively and on the mound for 2012.  The Indians were one of these surprise teams of 2011 and they in a similar position as the Royals.  They have some young players they are counting on to be productive.  They have some talent on their pitching staff but they have numerous question marks.  The Indians could go either way in the standings; nothing is for certain in Cleveland.  The reigning Central champs are the Tigers and while they have Justin Verlander and Miguel Cabrera, there are several holes in the line-up.  They are really lacking at third and second and their outfield is inconsistent.  It will be difficult, if not impossible, to fully replace the bat of Victor Martinez, who is out for the season.  If the Tigers can’t fill those holes and their pitchers regress, they could be vulnerable.

Oswalt or Jackson could be just the thing to put the Royals over the top in this division.  Oswalt could offer invaluable leadership for a young staff.  He is a bulldog, ground ball pitcher who has battled injuries in recent seasons.  Still, if healthy, he would really add quality depth to the rotation.  Edwin Jackson has been inconsistent in the past but is still just 28 years old and wouldn’t be out of line with the Royals’ youth movement.  And he is durable.  I have a hard time believing he wouldn’t be an asset. 

For all we know, the Royals will take every step forward in every area and with every position and will compete on 2012.  This is not likely.  Maybe the young rotation and prospects in the minors will makes strides forward and no longer be the weak link on the club.  Maybe Moore knows exactly what he is doing and the Royals will compete for the AL Central title in 2012.  I hope so because I am tired of waiting for next year. 

(Since writing this a few days ago, the Detroit Tigers signed Prince Fielder to a 9-year contract.  I no longer think signing Oswalt or Jackson would help the Royals win the AL Central in 2012.  If things went absolutely right for Kansas City and absolutely wrong for the Tigers, it is still possible for the Royals to win.  Those are two very big ifs...)

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Wednesday, January 18, 2012

Thoughts on Charlie Weis


Two different friends of mine, who don’t know each other, reacted to KU hiring Charlie Weis as the new Jayhawk football coach with the same exact word – underwhelming.  I was astonished at their reaction.  I mean, just who did they think Kansas was going to get for the job?  Let’s face this simple fact – the job of the football coach at the University of Kansas is not a plum job.  It isn’t even a stepping stone for later success at other schools with better programs.  Who was the last KU football coach who went on to another, better program, let alone had success?  I can’t think of a single one.  Not one. 

So, just who were my friends expecting KU to hire?  Why would any hot commodity young coach from a smaller school in a non-BCS conference come here?  Just how did the careers of Terry Allen and Turner Gill turn out?  Why would any coach want to come to a basketball school in a football conference?  Why would any big time coach come to Kansas to take over a team coming off a 2-10 season (and it wasn’t even THAT good, really)?  Just how enticing would it be to take over a team that is the reigning bottom dweller in a powerhouse conference, a school with exactly six seasons with more than eight victories (1899, 1905, 1908, 1968, 1995, and 2007)? 

The hiring of Charlie Weis is a home run hire for the Jayhawks.  Period.  Charlie Weiss is the biggest name KU fans could ever hope for.  He may be the biggest name hire for KU in their history, certainly in my lifetime.  Only two coaches since 1953 have had winning records at KU (Jack Mitchell and Mark Mangino, each just 2 games over .500) so I can’t imagine there were hordes of big time coaches trampling each other to take over the reins to this team.  Whether or not Weis is successful really isn’t an issue at this point and time.  This hire of Charlie Weis at this time was a terrific coup for Athletic Director Sheahon Zenger.
Charlie Weis has done a good job filling out his staff as well.  He kept the one guy he should have from the previous regime in Reggie Mitchell.  I love the hire of Tim Grunhard as the offensive line coach.  Grunhard had a successful pro career with the Chiefs and has been a successful high school coach.  This was a natural progression in his career and he knows what it takes to be successful as a player.  There are several coaches I just don’t know much about and there doesn’t seem to be much, if any, negative reactions to them.  I am going to assume they will do a better job than the previous coaches.
I do know about Dave Campo.  Again, I think this is a fantastic hire.  I don’t care he hasn’t coached at the college level for twenty-some years.  He was successful at the college level before having terrific success on the professional level.  He knows defense and he knows how to coach players.  That is all I want.  Many times last season, the defense simply looked uncoached and that is not acceptable.  I was also thrilled Weis brought back local boy, Clint Bowen, as the special teams coach.  KU special teams have been awful over the last two years and Bowen had great success with these units in the past.  Not only was it a good PR move, it was an astute football hire.
Now that this staff is in place, it will be a matter of time before we see if they can actually coach the players on campus.  Their job will be to bring players to fit their system and to coach them up.  Weis has already garnered three transfers with good reputations, if not some mixed on the field results.  I trust Weis knows what he is doing when it comes to recruiting and can get this program back on the right track.  Weis’ record at Notre Dame was 35-27.  He was fired by the Irish; if he puts up that record here in his first five years, he will be a god.  I know it is all relative but I would be thrilled with 35 wins in five seasons.
Don’t expect a huge improvement on the record next season.  I just am not sure how much talent he was to work with for 2012.  I just want see an improvement in play.  I want to see a team that looks like they have been coached.  It is a tough row to hoe to make big strides in the Big XII.  If KU wins four games and is competitive in their losses, this will be a huge step forward.  It will be going forward, not backward.  I will have faith Weis will get this program on the right track.
One more thing – now that Weis is going to return the names to the back of the jerseys, he now needs to return the Jayhawk to the helmets.
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Sunday, January 8, 2012

Grading the Kansas City Chiefs


In early September, I made my prediction that they Kansas City Chiefs probably wouldn’t win more than 4-6 games.  Well, I was off – they won a surprising 7 games.  Nearly everything else I talked about in that post played out as I discussed.  It is not often I nail something so squarely on the head as I did about the Chiefs in 2011.  Now I am going to pass out my grades for the Chiefs.

COACHING AND FRONT OFFICE
F

I am going to start right at the top and I am going to be harsh.  If this team could win 7 games and be a home win in week 16 against Oakland away from winning the crappiest division in football, think how good this team might have been with even slightly better management.  At the end of the lockout, Scott Pioli sat on his wallet and did almost nothing to address the incredible lack of depth on this team.  I don’t know who made the decision to let Brian Waters go but he was signed by the Patriots and made the Pro Bowl – again.  Obviously he was washed up.  Pioli signed LT Jared Gaither early but released him after Thanksgiving after only playing a few snaps.  The Chargers picked him up and started him almost immediately and I read a quote from Philip Rivers where Rivers said Gaither had solidified their offensive line.  Pioli and Haley deserved F’s for those moves alone. 

Injuries wracked the Chiefs early and often and Kansas City did not have quality back-ups.  Green Bay last season and Houston in 2011 proved you can have numerous players lost for the seasons and still have the depth to win playoff games.  Pioli did not have this team manned with enough quality players.  Haley did his part.  After another lackluster preseason, the Chiefs got stomped early in the first two games and even though he rallied the troops for a 4-game winning streak, his decision making was suspect.  Again, I am not sure whose decision it was to have Tyler Palko as the back-up to Matt Cassel but it was an awful one.  It helped speed along Haley’s exit and rightfully so.

There is plenty of blame to go around as far as the front office and coaching goes and it is hard to list every short coming.  Suffice it to say, they failed utterly in 2011.

QUARTERBACK
D

Matt Cassel was not going to reproduce his 27/7 touchdown to interception ratio of 2010 no matter how many games he played in 2011.  He was at 10/9 when he got hurt in game ten.  His passer rating was nearly 20 points lower as well.  That being said, Tyler Palko made him look like Peyton Manning.  I am not sure how Palko was even on a NFL roster.  He was awful.  Kyle Orton was a bright spot for the front office but Haley really didn’t want to play him, which was another reason to see Haley to the door.  Cassel probably played above his head last season when he got more blocking and his 2011 performance is probably closer to what he can offer year in and year out.  That isn’t very good.  Orton played well enough to at least warrant contract talks for 2012 but I can’t imagine him on the roster with Cassel.

RUNNINGBACK
C

We all knew it was trouble when Jamal Charles went down in game two.  Thomas Jones’ best days are behind him and try as he might, he just couldn’t get rolling on any consistent basis.  Jackie Battle conquered his fumble issues and provided some good work but couldn’t wrestle the job away from Jones, then later, Dexter McCluster.  McCluster was the most effective runner the Chiefs could field but he was by no means a punishing runner.  Le’Ron McClain offered up some toughness and effective blocking at times.  While none of these guys were just terrible, none of them were good enough to claim the job as the main back.  Who received the bulk of the carries seemed to vary from game to game.  I don’t discount their combined effort, just their talent.  They certainly are back-ups and shouldn’t be counted on to shoulder the load for any length of time.

WIDE RECEIVERS AND TIGHT ENDS
WR – B, TE – F

Dwayne Bowe continued to make spectacular, incredible catches and he continued to drop routine balls in key situations.  Bowe could be dominating, physical star in this league if he could maintain his focus all of the time and stop dropping so many passes.  Steve Breaston was solid for most of the season and exhibited good toughness.  Rookie Jonathon Baldwin missed the first five games due to mouthing off to the wrong guy in the locker room in preseason and getting his rear kicked and never really got it going.  He showed a few flashes but dropped his share as well.  He will continue to get better.  The tight ends are not worth the time to list individually and were awful as a group.  Tony Moeaki may have been the biggest single loss of the season.  The wide receivers were probably the strongest part of the offense but still exhibited too much inconsistency.  The tight ends were just terrible.

OFFENSIVE LINE
C-

I have a hard time believing there are many starting tackles worse than Barry Richardson.  He is slow and gets manhandled on a regular basis.  He should be strictly a back-up to fill in when a starter needs a play or two off.  I love Casey Wiegmann and his streak of 11,000 plus straight snaps is as impressive as any record you will see but he is old and very undersized and seemed to get pushed back on a consistent basis.  I was disappointed the Chiefs seemed more interested in keeping Weigmann’s streak in place instead of getting rookie Rodney Hudson some experience.  Brandon Albert seems better fitted to be a right tackle but played fairly well.  We saw growth out of Jon Asamoah.  Ryan Lilja looks to be on the downside of his career.  Major rebuilding needs to be done here but that has been the case for several years now.

DEFENSIVE LINE
D

The Chiefs continue to be blind to the fact that Tyson Jackson was a gigantic mistake and Glenn Dorsey has been a relative bust.  Neither player has made the necessary steps toward being legitimate forces on the d-line.  Both get pushed off the line too often and neither can mount any sort of pass rush.  Free agent acquisition Kelly Gregg played okay against the run but also offered no pressure on passing downs.  I thought the line played much better when back-ups rookie Allen Bailey, Amon Gordon, and Wallace Gilbury were in the game.  The starters may have had a slight advantage against the run but the second team was much better at pressuring the quarterback.  The Chiefs have to find an effective nose tackle and a legitimate starting defensive end if they hope to improve this horrible unit.

LINEBACKERS
A-

Tamba Hali continues to do amazing work getting to the quarterback considering he gets almost no help from his line.  Derrick Johnson continues to get better each year and has become a major force in that defense.  The Chiefs’ defense improved late in the season and it was due mainly to the improvement of rookie Justin Houston.  Houston started very slowly but ended up being a legitimate threat to sack the quarterback late in the season.  His 5.5 sacks really give me hope for the future for this unit.  Jovan Belcher is a steady, if totally unspectacular performer in the middle.  Belcher could be upgraded but compared to the other glaring holes on this team, improving the linebacker corps is not a priority.  It could use some help with depth via free agency but I hope they don’t waste any high draft picks here.

DEFENSIVE BACKS
B+

The Brandons – Carr and Flowers – have really solidified the cornerback position for Kansas City.  They have become shut down corners on both sides and if the Chiefs could find any way to pressure the quarterback, these cornerbacks would become even more valuable.  Back up Javier Arenas has gotten better and is a decent nickel back.  Eric Berry lost a full season of development with his season long injury and I can only hope he returns the same player as before.  Kendrick Lewis at safety improved in 2011 but needs help from Berry to be at his best.  John McGraw would be just fine as a back-up but he gets exposed when he plays a lot.  The rest of the stiffs the Chiefs ran out there on a weekly basis all need to improve or be upgraded mightily.  Still, this group of players is the Chiefs second strongest squad on the team and just need better quality in its depth.

SPECIAL TEAMS
C+

Dustin Colquitt is an underrated punter who never worries about his stats.  He is more than willing to do what he has to do help his team win the field position battle.  His stats aren’t as eye catching as others around the league but there aren’t many I would trade him for.  I am a big fan.  Succop would have pushed this part of the grade to above average it weren’t for the two blocked field goals against the Raiders.  Nothing really stands out to me about the return game so I give an average grade here.

Overall, the team receives a C-.  They won a game or two I wouldn’t have predicted but they also lost a couple of games they shouldn’t have.  At times they were horrible, getting blown out in lopsided fashion.  At other times, their defense played well enough to keep them in games  This off season, the Chiefs need to address both the offensive and defensive lines, in free agency if possible.  I would love for the Chiefs give up some picks to get Robert Griffin III and spend some money in free agency.  With better health and more depth, there is no reason not think the Chiefs can’t win the weak AFC West. 

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